Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.537708 3.940990 4.378775 4.890500 5.473720 6.119428 6.890779
2025-04-06 2.918354 3.449728 4.068167 4.845555 5.802832 6.951029 8.444420
2025-04-13 2.426555 2.989959 3.678726 4.590998 5.779929 7.293970 9.395512
2025-04-20 2.180486 2.780449 3.544524 4.602185 6.049172 7.990303 10.844366
2025-04-27 2.022574 2.656674 3.493467 4.697678 6.418074 8.837243 12.587509
2025-05-04 1.893390 2.552535 3.450116 4.787360 6.773940 9.690188 14.438475
2025-05-11 1.773764 2.446925 3.389534 4.838230 7.068000 10.472959 16.275881
2025-05-18 1.667288 2.348378 3.326552 4.873352 7.333384 11.230985 18.166673
2025-05-25 1.528202 2.189856 3.160335 4.732018 7.301720 11.503008 19.262815
2025-06-01 1.427766 2.080293 3.057143 4.676467 7.397157 11.986275 20.785379
2025-06-08 1.344214 1.989608 2.974673 4.644349 7.524030 12.530446 22.487821
2025-06-15 1.314849 1.980039 3.017213 4.819125 8.019113 13.775320 25.712246
2025-06-22 1.245003 1.903152 2.948579 4.804528 8.186703 14.458207 27.962406
2025-06-29 1.175733 1.822527 2.867908 4.761904 8.298863 15.050296 30.125394
2025-07-06 1.074628 1.683201 2.679632 4.512695 7.999621 14.803795 30.425565
2025-07-13 1.028725 1.632672 2.637953 4.523700 8.196928 15.571884 33.131021
2025-07-20 1.000378 1.609683 2.641534 4.617291 8.563884 16.732903 36.962093
2025-07-27 0.973013 1.586397 2.642499 4.705176 8.927334 17.931601 41.114138
2025-08-03 0.941703 1.554120 2.624843 4.755023 9.216346 19.002698 45.152496
2025-08-10 0.910306 1.519672 2.600662 4.789438 9.475275 20.038026 49.305234
2025-08-17 0.857304 1.443448 2.494545 4.650944 9.344228 20.143853 50.906867
2025-08-24 0.819281 1.392332 2.432178 4.596506 9.393556 20.687162 53.869150
2025-08-31 0.786728 1.349495 2.382833 4.565030 9.491369 21.361808 57.363382